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{ 4 comments }
“The survey’s sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points in New Hampshire, Ohio and Wisconsin, and plus or minus 4 percentage points in Indiana and North Carolina.”
So it could go either way. It really amazes me how close the two are in these states. Even in Wisconsin which hasn’t voted Rep since 1984 Obama is really not that far ahead. And I am really confused about how a state like Ohio is that important to Reps.
Even in Wisconsin which hasn’t voted Rep since 1984 Obama is really not that far ahead.
Significantly worse could be said for McCain in both Indiana and North Carolina.
I am really confused about how a state like Ohio is that important to Reps.
Ohio has been a deciding factor in the last two elections, and has the potential this election to win or lose the presidency for either candidate. I think that Ohio is by far one of the most crucial states in this election.
I’m not so sure about Ohio being uniquely important this time around. McCain needs Ohio; Obama does not need Ohio and the situation is the same in at least six other states.
If Obama carries Kerry’s map (which he almost certainly will) plus NM, and IA then he only needs one more state to win. It could be any of them; IN, VA, NC, OH, CO, FL, MO, it does not matter. Obama is leading in all of those except for IN, and in VA/CO his lead is pretty significant. Every single one of those are ‘must defend’ states for McCain.
Something I look at every morning and always seems to make me more hopeful: http://www.electoral-vote.com/icon.html?
The over time animation is especially happy. There is rarely a spot where McCain had a higher score than Obama, and Obama almost always has had more than enough points to win.
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